Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 15.7 in
- RP forecast
- 15.7 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 3.76 | 1.21 | 26.7% | 7.8% | 45.4% |
| RP | 3.30 | 1.17 | 28.7% | 8.0% | 47.4% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 15.7 in | 15.7 in | 15.7 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 11.1 in | 11.1 in | 11.1 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.7 mph | 95.3 mph | 94.7 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 12.9 in | 13.0 in | 12.9 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 16.1 in | 16.2 in | 16.1 in |
| Stuff+ | 108 | 105 | 106 | 105 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 102 | 104 | 102 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 112 | 113 | 112 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 105 | 105 | 105 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 102 | 102 | 102 |
| Zone rate | 44.9% | 47.1% | 46.9% | 47.1% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 35.1% | 33.4% | 34.0% | 33.4% |
| Whiff rate | 30.0% | 30.3% | 32.0% | 30.3% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% |
| Ground-ball rate | 47.1% | 45.4% | 47.4% | 45.4% |
| Hard-hit rate | 39.2% | 40.5% | 38.1% | 40.5% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.4 pp | 0.4 pp | 0.4 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% |
| Strikeout rate | 25.3% | 26.7% | 28.7% | 26.7% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 35.2% | 35.7% | 35.2% |
| All fastball usage | — | 43.3% | 43.3% | 43.3% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 21.1% | 21.7% | 21.1% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 22.3% | 21.4% | 22.3% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| First secondary usage | — | 27.3% | 28.5% | 27.3% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 21.7% | 20.9% | 21.7% |