Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 14.4 in
- RP forecast
- 14.3 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 14.4 in | 14.3 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 11.4 in | 11.4 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 91.3 mph | 91.9 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 6.1 in | 6.2 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 18.8 in | 18.9 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 87 | 92 | 93 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 92 | 93 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 94 | 95 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 89 | 90 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 92 | 92 | — |
| Zone rate | 45.1% | 46.4% | 46.2% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 33.8% | 29.6% | 30.2% | — |
| Whiff rate | 30.3% | 25.3% | 27.0% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 3.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 42.9% | 41.3% | 43.3% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 31.9% | 39.2% | 36.8% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 26.4% | 20.2% | 22.3% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 21.8% | 22.3% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 46.0% | 46.0% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 24.2% | 24.8% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 33.0% | 32.1% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.4% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 29.6% | 30.8% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 20.1% | 19.4% | — |