Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 9.7 in
- RP forecast
- 9.7 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 9.7 in | 9.7 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.7 in | 16.7 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.5 mph | 94.0 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 17.6 in | 17.7 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 4.2 in | 4.4 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 100 | 99 | 100 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 98 | 100 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 95 | 96 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 100 | 100 | — |
| Zone rate | 50.8% | 49.4% | 49.2% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 29.5% | 28.6% | 29.2% | — |
| Whiff rate | 24.2% | 23.7% | 25.5% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 41.8% | 39.9% | 41.9% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 43.4% | 40.7% | 38.3% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.1 pp | -0.1 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 21.9% | 20.7% | 22.8% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 13.1% | 13.6% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 66.8% | 66.9% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 37.4% | 38.0% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 20.9% | 20.0% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 21.2% | 22.4% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 17.2% | 16.4% | — |