Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 15.5 in
- RP forecast
- 15.5 in
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Final role scenarios and park context unavailable
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 15.5 in | 15.5 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 3.8 in | 3.9 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 88.2 mph | 88.7 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 12.7 in | 12.9 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 16.6 in | 16.8 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 100 | 101 | 102 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 100 | 102 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 108 | 109 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 87 | 88 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 64.0% | 56.3% | 56.0% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 0.0% | 19.5% | 20.1% | — |
| Whiff rate | 0.0% | 10.5% | 12.2% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 20.0% | 10.6% | 9.0% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 40.0% | 39.7% | 41.7% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 20.0% | 32.6% | 30.1% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 3.2 pp | 3.2 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 0.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 16.7% | 16.8% | 18.9% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 34.2% | 34.8% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 55.2% | 55.2% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 49.1% | 49.6% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 11.1% | 10.2% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 20.2% | 21.4% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 11.9% | 11.1% | — |
2026 MLB arsenal evidence unavailable