Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 17.6 in
- RP forecast
- 17.5 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 17.6 in | 17.5 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 6.8 in | 6.8 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 95.6 mph | 96.1 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 6.2 in | 6.3 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 14.0 in | 14.1 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 105 | 101 | 103 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 103 | 104 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 102 | 103 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 94 | 95 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 47.7% | 48.7% | 48.5% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 25.0% | 27.8% | 28.4% | — |
| Whiff rate | 15.4% | 18.6% | 20.4% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 52.4% | 49.5% | 51.5% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 47.6% | 47.2% | 44.8% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.3 pp | -0.3 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 19.4% | 17.4% | 19.5% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 24.9% | 25.5% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 72.2% | 72.2% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 55.9% | 56.5% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 2.0% | 1.1% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 22.7% | 23.9% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 14.1% | 13.3% | — |