Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 16.7 in
- RP forecast
- 16.6 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.36 | 1.32 | 20.0% | 7.9% | 45.4% |
| RP | 3.90 | 1.28 | 22.1% | 8.2% | 47.4% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 16.7 in | 16.6 in | 16.7 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 4.9 in | 5.0 in | 4.9 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.9 mph | 93.5 mph | 92.9 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 17.3 in | 17.5 in | 17.3 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 16.6 in | 16.7 in | 16.6 in |
| Stuff+ | 90 | 95 | 96 | 95 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 99 | 101 | 99 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 86 | 87 | 86 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | 97 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 103 | 103 | 103 |
| Zone rate | 46.6% | 47.6% | 47.3% | 47.6% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 30.3% | 29.4% | 30.0% | 29.4% |
| Whiff rate | 24.5% | 23.2% | 25.0% | 23.2% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% |
| Ground-ball rate | 45.1% | 45.4% | 47.4% | 45.4% |
| Hard-hit rate | 32.7% | 38.1% | 35.7% | 38.1% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% |
| Strikeout rate | 21.0% | 20.0% | 22.1% | 20.0% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 25.1% | 25.7% | 25.1% |
| All fastball usage | — | 49.6% | 49.6% | 49.6% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 25.7% | 26.3% | 25.7% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 25.7% | 24.8% | 25.7% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| First secondary usage | — | 23.7% | 24.9% | 23.7% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 20.8% | 20.0% | 20.8% |