Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 7.7 in
- RP forecast
- 7.6 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 7.7 in | 7.6 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.3 in | 16.4 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.4 mph | 94.9 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 9.6 in | 9.7 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 16.6 in | 16.7 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 93 | 96 | 98 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 93 | 95 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 100 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 104 | 104 | — |
| Zone rate | 48.2% | 48.4% | 48.2% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 39.2% | 31.7% | 32.3% | — |
| Whiff rate | 22.5% | 22.2% | 24.0% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 31.1% | 37.8% | 39.8% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 24.3% | 37.6% | 35.2% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 26.8% | 21.0% | 23.1% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 28.1% | 28.6% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 59.9% | 59.9% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 16.3% | 16.8% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 12.2% | 11.3% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 27.9% | 29.1% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 23.0% | 22.2% | — |