Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 7.0 in
- RP forecast
- 7.0 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 7.0 in | 7.0 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 15.4 in | 15.5 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.7 mph | 95.3 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 7.5 in | 7.6 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 2.0 in | 2.1 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 92 | 96 | 97 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 91 | 92 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 94 | 95 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 100 | 100 | — |
| Zone rate | 44.1% | 47.1% | 46.9% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 36.6% | 30.1% | 30.7% | — |
| Whiff rate | 26.2% | 24.3% | 26.0% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 51.3% | 44.8% | 46.8% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 34.8% | 42.7% | 40.2% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.4 pp | 0.4 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 21.7% | 18.9% | 21.0% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 29.7% | 30.2% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 60.2% | 60.2% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 23.3% | 23.9% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 10.0% | 9.1% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.4% | 0.7% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 23.1% | 24.3% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 25.7% | 25.0% | — |