Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 6.0 in
- RP forecast
- 5.9 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.22 | 1.27 | 24.1% | 8.5% | 36.2% |
| RP | 3.76 | 1.23 | 26.2% | 8.8% | 38.2% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 6.0 in | 5.9 in | 6.0 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.1 in | 16.1 in | 16.1 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.6 mph | 93.1 mph | 92.6 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 6.7 in | 6.8 in | 6.7 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 14.4 in | 14.5 in | 14.4 in |
| Stuff+ | 98 | 98 | 99 | 98 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | 101 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 95 | 96 | 95 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 95 | 96 | 95 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 109 | 109 | 109 |
| Zone rate | 44.5% | 46.0% | 45.8% | 46.0% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 27.6% | 28.7% | 29.3% | 28.7% |
| Whiff rate | 27.1% | 26.4% | 28.1% | 26.4% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% |
| Ground-ball rate | 31.6% | 36.2% | 38.2% | 36.2% |
| Hard-hit rate | 45.5% | 41.1% | 38.6% | 41.1% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 10.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% |
| Strikeout rate | 26.0% | 24.1% | 26.2% | 24.1% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 44.4% | 44.9% | 44.4% |
| All fastball usage | — | 51.4% | 51.4% | 51.4% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 44.0% | 44.6% | 44.0% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| First secondary usage | — | 23.5% | 24.7% | 23.5% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 19.3% | 18.6% | 19.3% |