Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 5.2 in
- RP forecast
- 5.2 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.26 | 1.27 | 20.9% | 7.2% | 43.0% |
| RP | 3.80 | 1.23 | 23.0% | 7.5% | 45.0% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 5.2 in | 5.2 in | 5.2 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 15.8 in | 15.9 in | 15.8 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 91.6 mph | 92.2 mph | 91.6 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 8.9 in | 9.0 in | 8.9 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 16.5 in | 16.6 in | 16.5 in |
| Stuff+ | 97 | 98 | 99 | 98 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 96 | 97 | 96 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | 101 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 102 | 103 | 102 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 106 | 106 | 106 |
| Zone rate | 48.2% | 48.3% | 48.1% | 48.3% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 32.0% | 29.6% | 30.2% | 29.6% |
| Whiff rate | 23.3% | 23.2% | 25.0% | 23.2% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% |
| Ground-ball rate | 45.5% | 43.0% | 45.0% | 43.0% |
| Hard-hit rate | 37.0% | 37.3% | 34.9% | 37.3% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% |
| Strikeout rate | 21.9% | 20.9% | 23.0% | 20.9% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 25.6% | 26.1% | 25.6% |
| All fastball usage | — | 57.5% | 57.5% | 57.5% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 19.8% | 20.4% | 19.8% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 16.6% | 15.7% | 16.6% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| First secondary usage | — | 29.5% | 30.8% | 29.5% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 15.4% | 14.6% | 15.4% |