Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 7.0 in
- RP forecast
- 7.0 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 7.0 in | 7.0 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 15.1 in | 15.2 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.8 mph | 94.4 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 16.9 in | 17.1 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 5.6 in | 5.8 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 100 | 100 | 101 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 98 | 100 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 102 | 102 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 106 | 107 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 95 | 95 | — |
| Zone rate | 46.2% | 48.0% | 47.8% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 24.8% | 27.5% | 28.1% | — |
| Whiff rate | 27.2% | 25.4% | 27.1% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 3.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 47.6% | 43.2% | 45.2% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 30.1% | 37.8% | 35.3% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.3 pp | -0.3 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 14.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 23.6% | 22.1% | 24.2% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 38.7% | 39.3% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 57.4% | 57.4% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 31.9% | 32.4% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 3.0% | 2.1% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.6% | 0.9% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 23.0% | 24.2% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 21.4% | 20.6% | — |