Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 7.3 in
- RP forecast
- 7.2 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.47 | 1.35 | 20.2% | 8.4% | 43.1% |
| RP | 4.01 | 1.31 | 22.3% | 8.6% | 45.1% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 7.3 in | 7.2 in | 7.3 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 15.6 in | 15.6 in | 15.6 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.1 mph | 94.7 mph | 94.1 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 3.3 in | 3.4 in | 3.3 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 16.0 in | 16.1 in | 16.0 in |
| Stuff+ | 92 | 96 | 97 | 96 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 93 | 95 | 93 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 97 | 97 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 96 | 97 | 96 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 106 | 106 | 106 |
| Zone rate | 45.1% | 47.1% | 46.9% | 47.1% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 31.8% | 30.2% | 30.8% | 30.2% |
| Whiff rate | 27.3% | 26.5% | 28.3% | 26.5% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% |
| Ground-ball rate | 43.7% | 43.1% | 45.1% | 43.1% |
| Hard-hit rate | 45.2% | 41.3% | 38.8% | 41.3% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% |
| Strikeout rate | 17.9% | 20.2% | 22.3% | 20.2% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 44.9% | 45.5% | 44.9% |
| All fastball usage | — | 48.2% | 48.2% | 48.2% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 26.8% | 27.4% | 26.8% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| First secondary usage | — | 32.3% | 33.5% | 32.3% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 12.3% | 11.5% | 12.3% |