Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 8.7 in
- RP forecast
- 8.7 in
Loading projection…
| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.54 | 1.33 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 40.1% |
| RP | 4.08 | 1.30 | 21.2% | 8.1% | 42.1% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 8.7 in | 8.7 in | 8.7 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 15.1 in | 15.1 in | 15.1 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.3 mph | 93.9 mph | 93.3 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 16.1 in | 16.2 in | 16.1 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 17.1 in | 17.2 in | 17.1 in |
| Stuff+ | 91 | 95 | 97 | 95 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 92 | 93 | 92 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 94 | 95 | 94 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | 100 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 106 | 106 | 106 |
| Zone rate | 48.5% | 49.2% | 49.0% | 49.2% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 29.4% | 28.3% | 28.9% | 28.3% |
| Whiff rate | 20.5% | 21.5% | 23.2% | 21.5% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% |
| Ground-ball rate | 37.9% | 40.1% | 42.1% | 40.1% |
| Hard-hit rate | 42.3% | 41.2% | 38.7% | 41.2% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% |
| Strikeout rate | 17.7% | 19.1% | 21.2% | 19.1% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 35.9% | 36.5% | 35.9% |
| All fastball usage | — | 54.9% | 54.9% | 54.9% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 29.1% | 29.6% | 29.1% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| First secondary usage | — | 17.0% | 18.2% | 17.0% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 16.5% | 15.7% | 16.5% |