Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 3.1 in
- RP forecast
- 3.1 in
Loading projection…
Final projection unavailable. The results-only forecast remains available below.
Final role scenarios and park context unavailable
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 3.1 in | 3.1 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 15.3 in | 15.4 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.2 mph | 94.8 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 8.6 in | 8.7 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 7.8 in | 7.9 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 98 | 99 | 100 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 40.5% | 45.6% | 45.4% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 31.8% | 28.8% | 29.4% | — |
| Whiff rate | 34.0% | 28.1% | 29.8% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 12.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 37.5% | 40.4% | 42.4% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 56.3% | 45.8% | 43.3% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 1.4 pp | 1.4 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 20.0% | 11.3% | 11.6% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 16.0% | 18.5% | 20.6% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 39.4% | 39.9% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 52.9% | 52.9% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 44.3% | 44.9% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 8.7% | 7.8% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.2% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 21.9% | 23.1% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 12.6% | 11.8% | — |