Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 4.8 in
- RP forecast
- 4.8 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 4.8 in | 4.8 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 12.4 in | 12.4 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 91.8 mph | 92.3 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 12.8 in | 12.9 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 9.7 in | 9.8 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 104 | 103 | 105 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 95 | 97 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 119 | 120 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 104 | 105 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 46.0% | 48.2% | 48.0% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 24.0% | 26.3% | 26.9% | — |
| Whiff rate | 12.1% | 18.6% | 20.3% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 3.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 34.5% | 38.5% | 40.5% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 37.9% | 37.7% | 35.2% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.2 pp | -0.2 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 14.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 0.0% | 12.3% | 14.4% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 40.9% | 41.4% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 53.0% | 53.0% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 21.9% | 22.4% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 5.9% | 5.0% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 26.7% | 27.9% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 17.2% | 16.4% | — |