Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 13.9 in
- RP forecast
- 13.9 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.25 | 1.34 | 20.6% | 8.3% | 49.6% |
| RP | 3.79 | 1.30 | 22.7% | 8.6% | 51.7% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 13.9 in | 13.9 in | 13.9 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 7.8 in | 7.8 in | 7.8 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 91.8 mph | 92.3 mph | 91.8 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 12.3 in | 12.5 in | 12.3 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 3.9 in | 4.1 in | 3.9 in |
| Stuff+ | 102 | 100 | 101 | 100 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 101 | 103 | 101 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | 98 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | 100 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 107 | 107 | 107 |
| Zone rate | 46.6% | 47.6% | 47.4% | 47.6% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 28.8% | 28.8% | 29.4% | 28.8% |
| Whiff rate | 22.7% | 23.2% | 25.0% | 23.2% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% |
| Ground-ball rate | 50.8% | 49.6% | 51.7% | 49.6% |
| Hard-hit rate | 39.6% | 40.3% | 37.9% | 40.3% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% |
| Strikeout rate | 20.8% | 20.6% | 22.7% | 20.6% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 31.4% | 32.0% | 31.4% |
| All fastball usage | — | 54.0% | 54.0% | 54.0% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 27.6% | 28.1% | 27.6% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 14.2% | 13.3% | 14.2% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| First secondary usage | — | 24.2% | 25.5% | 24.2% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 21.3% | 20.5% | 21.3% |