Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 4.8 in
- RP forecast
- 4.7 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 3.79 | 1.19 | 24.6% | 6.9% | 44.5% |
| RP | 3.33 | 1.15 | 26.7% | 7.2% | 46.5% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 4.8 in | 4.7 in | 4.8 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 18.3 in | 18.3 in | 18.3 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 95.7 mph | 96.3 mph | 95.7 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 5.8 in | 6.0 in | 5.8 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 20.2 in | 20.4 in | 20.2 in |
| Stuff+ | 97 | 100 | 101 | 100 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | 99 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | 101 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 105 | 106 | 105 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 101 | 101 | 101 |
| Zone rate | 49.7% | 49.7% | 49.5% | 49.7% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 33.1% | 30.5% | 31.1% | 30.5% |
| Whiff rate | 25.1% | 25.5% | 27.3% | 25.5% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% |
| Ground-ball rate | 45.0% | 44.5% | 46.5% | 44.5% |
| Hard-hit rate | 33.8% | 38.6% | 36.1% | 38.6% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% |
| Strikeout rate | 26.0% | 24.6% | 26.7% | 24.6% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% |
| All fastball usage | — | 78.1% | 78.2% | 78.1% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 27.5% | 28.1% | 27.5% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 12.3% | 11.4% | 12.3% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| First secondary usage | — | 28.0% | 29.2% | 28.0% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 22.3% | 21.5% | 22.3% |