Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 14.6 in
- RP forecast
- 14.5 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 14.6 in | 14.5 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 3.9 in | 4.0 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 91.6 mph | 92.2 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 15.9 in | 16.0 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 14.7 in | 14.9 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 93 | 95 | 97 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 95 | 97 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 97 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 98 | 98 | — |
| Zone rate | 44.2% | 46.8% | 46.5% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 24.3% | 26.5% | 27.1% | — |
| Whiff rate | 17.0% | 18.1% | 19.8% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 4.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 40.0% | 43.0% | 45.0% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 37.8% | 40.4% | 37.9% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.0 pp | -0.0 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 13.1% | 14.5% | 16.6% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 33.9% | 34.4% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 52.9% | 52.9% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 33.4% | 34.0% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 12.6% | 11.7% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 22.3% | 23.6% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 14.8% | 14.0% | — |