Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 15.7 in
- RP forecast
- 15.7 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.04 | 1.29 | 20.2% | 6.8% | 53.8% |
| RP | 3.58 | 1.25 | 22.3% | 7.1% | 55.8% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 15.7 in | 15.7 in | 15.7 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | -0.3 in | -0.2 in | -0.3 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 91.9 mph | 92.4 mph | 91.9 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 11.2 in | 11.4 in | 11.2 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 14.2 in | 14.3 in | 14.2 in |
| Stuff+ | 97 | 99 | 100 | 99 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 103 | 104 | 103 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | 98 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 96 | 97 | 96 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 107 | 107 | 107 |
| Zone rate | 46.7% | 47.4% | 47.2% | 47.4% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 32.9% | 30.6% | 31.2% | 30.6% |
| Whiff rate | 21.5% | 21.9% | 23.6% | 21.9% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% |
| Ground-ball rate | 51.8% | 53.8% | 55.8% | 53.8% |
| Hard-hit rate | 38.9% | 40.3% | 37.9% | 40.3% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% |
| Strikeout rate | 20.1% | 20.2% | 22.3% | 20.2% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 22.0% | 22.5% | 22.0% |
| All fastball usage | — | 54.3% | 54.4% | 54.3% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 28.6% | 29.1% | 28.6% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 24.2% | 23.3% | 24.2% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| First secondary usage | — | 22.8% | 24.0% | 22.8% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 20.8% | 20.0% | 20.8% |