Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 6.8 in
- RP forecast
- 6.8 in
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Final role scenarios and park context unavailable
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 6.8 in | 6.8 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.5 in | 16.5 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.0 mph | 94.6 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 10.2 in | 10.3 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 10.1 in | 10.2 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 94 | 98 | 99 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 95 | 96 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 96 | 96 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 29.2% | 41.4% | 41.2% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 29.4% | 28.0% | 28.6% | — |
| Whiff rate | 33.3% | 27.8% | 29.5% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 0.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 0.0% | 24.1% | 26.1% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 0.0% | 32.3% | 29.9% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | — * | — * | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 0.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 50.0% | 30.1% | 32.2% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 47.3% | 47.8% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 50.9% | 50.9% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 7.3% | 7.9% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 2.2% | 1.3% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 31.0% | 32.3% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 28.7% | 27.9% | — |
2026 MLB arsenal evidence unavailable