Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 13.7 in
- RP forecast
- 13.7 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 13.7 in | 13.7 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 11.3 in | 11.4 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.5 mph | 94.1 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 10.5 in | 10.6 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 14.8 in | 14.9 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 99 | 99 | 100 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 99 | 101 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 96 | 97 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 50.9% | 51.1% | 50.8% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 18.7% | 24.8% | 25.4% | — |
| Whiff rate | 20.6% | 21.0% | 22.7% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 50.0% | 44.3% | 46.3% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 46.2% | 41.7% | 39.3% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 17.1% | 10.4% | 10.7% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 17.1% | 18.6% | 20.7% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 8.9% | 9.5% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 70.4% | 70.4% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 42.1% | 42.6% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 17.8% | 16.9% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 3.5% | 3.8% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 22.2% | 23.4% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 18.1% | 17.3% | — |