Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 13.1 in
- RP forecast
- 13.0 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.02 | 1.20 | 24.1% | 6.6% | 38.8% |
| RP | 3.56 | 1.16 | 26.2% | 6.9% | 40.8% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 13.1 in | 13.0 in | 13.1 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 13.3 in | 13.3 in | 13.3 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.2 mph | 93.8 mph | 93.2 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 14.6 in | 14.8 in | 14.6 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 16.6 in | 16.8 in | 16.6 in |
| Stuff+ | 97 | 98 | 99 | 98 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 100 | 102 | 100 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 95 | 96 | 95 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 91 | 91 | 91 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 107 | 107 | 107 |
| Zone rate | 51.0% | 50.6% | 50.4% | 50.6% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 32.1% | 29.2% | 29.8% | 29.2% |
| Whiff rate | 25.8% | 25.2% | 26.9% | 25.2% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% |
| Ground-ball rate | 37.2% | 38.8% | 40.8% | 38.8% |
| Hard-hit rate | 40.9% | 40.0% | 37.6% | 40.0% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% |
| Strikeout rate | 25.9% | 24.1% | 26.2% | 24.1% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 32.0% | 32.6% | 32.0% |
| All fastball usage | — | 53.9% | 53.9% | 53.9% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 41.1% | 41.7% | 41.1% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 13.2% | 12.3% | 13.2% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| First secondary usage | — | 15.5% | 16.7% | 15.5% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 13.4% | 12.6% | 13.4% |