Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 5.7 in
- RP forecast
- 5.6 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 3.58 | 1.19 | 27.0% | 8.1% | 45.8% |
| RP | 3.13 | 1.15 | 29.1% | 8.3% | 47.8% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 5.7 in | 5.6 in | 5.7 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 14.3 in | 14.3 in | 14.3 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 97.5 mph | 98.1 mph | 97.5 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 14.9 in | 15.0 in | 14.9 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 19.3 in | 19.4 in | 19.3 in |
| Stuff+ | 110 | 105 | 106 | 105 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 106 | 107 | 106 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 110 | 111 | 110 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 94 | 95 | 94 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 101 | 101 | 101 |
| Zone rate | 50.3% | 49.6% | 49.4% | 49.6% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 30.0% | 29.9% | 30.5% | 29.9% |
| Whiff rate | 30.4% | 29.6% | 31.4% | 29.6% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 3.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% |
| Ground-ball rate | 52.1% | 45.8% | 47.8% | 45.8% |
| Hard-hit rate | 33.8% | 37.6% | 35.2% | 37.6% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% |
| Strikeout rate | 27.9% | 27.0% | 29.1% | 27.0% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 39.8% | 40.3% | 39.8% |
| All fastball usage | — | 51.6% | 51.6% | 51.6% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 41.7% | 42.3% | 41.7% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| First secondary usage | — | 27.3% | 28.5% | 27.3% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.2% |