Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 8.1 in
- RP forecast
- 8.1 in
Loading projection…
Final projection unavailable. The results-only forecast remains available below.
Saved source inputs unavailable
Final role scenarios and park context unavailable
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 8.1 in | 8.1 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 13.8 in | 13.9 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 91.6 mph | 92.1 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 3.3 in | 3.4 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 8.8 in | 8.9 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 91 | 93 | 95 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 89 | 91 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 99 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 99 | 99 | — |
| Zone rate | 50.7% | 49.7% | 49.5% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 31.5% | 26.2% | 26.8% | — |
| Whiff rate | 17.8% | 17.9% | 19.7% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 44.6% | 42.7% | 44.7% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 36.5% | 40.8% | 38.3% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 5.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 17.0% | 15.7% | 17.8% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 15.2% | 15.8% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 50.5% | 50.5% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 16.1% | 16.7% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 1.9% | 1.0% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 30.4% | 30.8% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 33.3% | 34.6% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 19.1% | 18.4% | — |