Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 5.9 in
- RP forecast
- 5.8 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.42 | 1.34 | 19.6% | 8.1% | 44.1% |
| RP | 3.96 | 1.30 | 21.7% | 8.3% | 46.1% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 5.9 in | 5.8 in | 5.9 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 14.5 in | 14.5 in | 14.5 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.8 mph | 94.3 mph | 93.8 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 15.7 in | 15.8 in | 15.7 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 13.3 in | 13.4 in | 13.3 in |
| Stuff+ | 92 | 96 | 98 | 96 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 94 | 96 | 94 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 95 | 96 | 95 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | 101 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 101 | 101 | 101 |
| Zone rate | 46.5% | 47.7% | 47.5% | 47.7% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 31.8% | 29.3% | 29.9% | 29.3% |
| Whiff rate | 23.4% | 23.4% | 25.1% | 23.4% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% |
| Ground-ball rate | 43.3% | 44.1% | 46.1% | 44.1% |
| Hard-hit rate | 45.1% | 41.2% | 38.8% | 41.2% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% |
| Strikeout rate | 19.8% | 19.6% | 21.7% | 19.6% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 26.5% | 27.0% | 26.5% |
| All fastball usage | — | 56.3% | 56.3% | 56.3% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 24.8% | 25.4% | 24.8% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 16.1% | 15.2% | 16.1% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| First secondary usage | — | 15.6% | 16.8% | 15.6% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 15.6% | 14.8% | 15.6% |