Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 11.1 in
- RP forecast
- 11.0 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 11.1 in | 11.0 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 14.2 in | 14.2 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.8 mph | 93.4 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 7.8 in | 7.9 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 15.0 in | 15.2 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 90 | 94 | 96 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 90 | 92 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 103 | 103 | — |
| Zone rate | 48.8% | 49.4% | 49.2% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 27.1% | 27.7% | 28.3% | — |
| Whiff rate | 23.3% | 21.7% | 23.4% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 41.0% | 39.1% | 41.2% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 56.4% | 45.3% | 42.8% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.4 pp | 0.4 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 19.6% | 18.5% | 20.6% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 15.3% | 15.9% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 66.1% | 66.1% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 32.0% | 32.6% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 18.7% | 17.8% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 21.3% | 22.5% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 18.2% | 17.4% | — |