Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 9.3 in
- RP forecast
- 9.2 in
Loading projection…
Saved source inputs unavailable
| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.40 | 1.29 | 20.3% | 7.3% | 38.3% |
| RP | 3.94 | 1.25 | 22.4% | 7.6% | 40.3% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 9.3 in | 9.2 in | 9.3 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 17.6 in | 17.6 in | 17.6 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.3 mph | 93.9 mph | 93.3 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 6.1 in | 6.2 in | 6.1 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 15.6 in | 15.7 in | 15.6 in |
| Stuff+ | 92 | 96 | 98 | 96 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 97 | 99 | 97 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 95 | 96 | 95 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | 97 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 99 | 99 | 99 |
| Zone rate | 48.2% | 48.8% | 48.6% | 48.8% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 29.4% | 28.6% | 29.2% | 28.6% |
| Whiff rate | 23.2% | 23.5% | 25.2% | 23.5% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% |
| Ground-ball rate | 33.7% | 38.3% | 40.3% | 38.3% |
| Hard-hit rate | 39.4% | 40.4% | 38.0% | 40.4% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% |
| Strikeout rate | 20.0% | 20.3% | 22.4% | 20.3% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 32.2% | 32.7% | 32.2% |
| All fastball usage | — | 45.2% | 45.2% | 45.2% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 31.7% | 32.3% | 31.7% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 23.3% | 22.4% | 23.3% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| First secondary usage | — | 24.5% | 25.8% | 24.5% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 22.2% | 21.5% | 22.2% |