Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 9.6 in
- RP forecast
- 9.5 in
Loading projection…
Saved source inputs unavailable
| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.16 | 1.28 | 22.9% | 8.2% | 43.6% |
| RP | 3.71 | 1.25 | 25.0% | 8.5% | 45.6% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 9.6 in | 9.5 in | 9.6 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 15.8 in | 15.8 in | 15.8 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 95.2 mph | 95.8 mph | 95.2 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 16.0 in | 16.1 in | 16.0 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 4.7 in | 4.8 in | 4.7 in |
| Stuff+ | 104 | 102 | 103 | 102 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | 98 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 109 | 109 | 109 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 104 | 105 | 104 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 101 | 101 | 101 |
| Zone rate | 49.0% | 48.6% | 48.4% | 48.6% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 31.6% | 29.9% | 30.5% | 29.9% |
| Whiff rate | 26.8% | 26.3% | 28.1% | 26.3% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% |
| Ground-ball rate | 46.9% | 43.6% | 45.6% | 43.6% |
| Hard-hit rate | 41.5% | 39.4% | 37.0% | 39.4% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.1 pp | -0.1 pp | -0.1 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% |
| Strikeout rate | 21.8% | 22.9% | 25.0% | 22.9% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 32.5% | 33.0% | 32.5% |
| All fastball usage | — | 43.3% | 43.3% | 43.3% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 36.7% | 37.3% | 36.7% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 25.1% | 24.2% | 25.1% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| First secondary usage | — | 26.5% | 27.7% | 26.5% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 17.9% | 17.1% | 17.9% |