Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 7.9 in
- RP forecast
- 7.9 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.40 | 1.31 | 20.7% | 8.2% | 39.0% |
| RP | 3.94 | 1.27 | 22.8% | 8.4% | 41.0% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 7.9 in | 7.9 in | 7.9 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 17.6 in | 17.6 in | 17.6 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.8 mph | 94.4 mph | 93.8 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 15.2 in | 15.4 in | 15.2 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 4.4 in | 4.6 in | 4.4 in |
| Stuff+ | 89 | 96 | 97 | 96 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 95 | 96 | 95 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 92 | 93 | 92 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | 97 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 106 | 106 | 106 |
| Zone rate | 47.0% | 48.1% | 47.8% | 48.1% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 31.0% | 28.8% | 29.4% | 28.8% |
| Whiff rate | 25.4% | 23.9% | 25.6% | 23.9% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% |
| Ground-ball rate | 37.6% | 39.0% | 41.0% | 39.0% |
| Hard-hit rate | 35.5% | 38.6% | 36.2% | 38.6% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% |
| Strikeout rate | 23.2% | 20.7% | 22.8% | 20.7% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 26.6% | 27.1% | 26.6% |
| All fastball usage | — | 51.2% | 51.2% | 51.2% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 29.6% | 30.2% | 29.6% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 22.6% | 21.7% | 22.6% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| First secondary usage | — | 23.0% | 24.3% | 23.0% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 12.7% | 12.0% | 12.7% |