Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 9.5 in
- RP forecast
- 9.5 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.55 | 1.35 | 20.5% | 8.4% | 40.9% |
| RP | 4.09 | 1.31 | 22.6% | 8.6% | 42.9% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 9.5 in | 9.5 in | 9.5 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 13.9 in | 13.9 in | 13.9 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.1 mph | 93.7 mph | 93.1 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 15.5 in | 15.6 in | 15.5 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 17.2 in | 17.3 in | 17.2 in |
| Stuff+ | 94 | 96 | 97 | 96 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 95 | 97 | 95 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 92 | 93 | 92 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | 97 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 100 | 100 | 100 |
| Zone rate | 50.9% | 50.4% | 50.1% | 50.4% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 25.0% | 27.2% | 27.8% | 27.2% |
| Whiff rate | 24.0% | 22.6% | 24.3% | 22.6% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 10.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% |
| Ground-ball rate | 38.0% | 40.9% | 42.9% | 40.9% |
| Hard-hit rate | 44.9% | 42.2% | 39.7% | 42.2% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% |
| Strikeout rate | 23.4% | 20.5% | 22.6% | 20.5% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 32.1% | 32.7% | 32.1% |
| All fastball usage | — | 59.3% | 59.3% | 59.3% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 29.5% | 30.1% | 29.5% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| First secondary usage | — | 22.7% | 24.0% | 22.7% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 19.0% | 18.2% | 19.0% |