Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 12.6 in
- RP forecast
- 12.5 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 12.6 in | 12.5 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 13.7 in | 13.8 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 90.8 mph | 91.3 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 8.2 in | 8.3 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 16.4 in | 16.5 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 88 | 95 | 96 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 94 | 95 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 94 | 95 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 43.2% | 46.3% | 46.1% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 36.0% | 29.9% | 30.5% | — |
| Whiff rate | 12.3% | 17.9% | 19.6% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 14.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 29.6% | 35.2% | 37.2% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 37.0% | 41.0% | 38.5% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 12.1% | 15.7% | 17.8% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 13.2% | 13.8% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 64.7% | 64.7% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 34.3% | 34.9% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 22.4% | 21.5% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.4% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 25.4% | 26.6% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 22.1% | 21.3% | — |