Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 9.6 in
- RP forecast
- 9.6 in
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Final role scenarios and park context unavailable
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 9.6 in | 9.6 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 15.0 in | 15.0 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.7 mph | 95.3 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 5.5 in | 5.6 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 19.0 in | 19.1 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 88 | 95 | 97 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 92 | 94 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 102 | 102 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 31.8% | 42.3% | 42.0% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 26.7% | 27.5% | 28.1% | — |
| Whiff rate | 25.0% | 23.3% | 25.1% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 0.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 33.3% | 38.0% | 40.0% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 0.0% | 33.4% | 30.9% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.2 pp | -0.2 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 33.3% | 13.9% | 14.2% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 16.7% | 17.7% | 19.7% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 22.0% | 22.5% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 67.2% | 67.2% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 49.5% | 50.1% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 10.6% | 9.7% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 17.6% | 18.8% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 15.1% | 14.3% | — |
2026 MLB arsenal evidence unavailable