Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 14.8 in
- RP forecast
- 14.8 in
Loading projection…
| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.61 | 1.35 | 18.5% | 7.6% | 43.6% |
| RP | 4.15 | 1.31 | 20.6% | 7.9% | 45.6% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 14.8 in | 14.8 in | 14.8 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 8.9 in | 9.0 in | 8.9 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 91.0 mph | 91.5 mph | 91.0 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 5.0 in | 5.2 in | 5.0 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 8.8 in | 9.0 in | 8.8 in |
| Stuff+ | 91 | 94 | 96 | 94 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 94 | 95 | 94 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 94 | 95 | 94 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 95 | 96 | 95 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 97 | 97 | 97 |
| Zone rate | 45.8% | 47.2% | 47.0% | 47.2% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 27.0% | 27.4% | 28.0% | 27.4% |
| Whiff rate | 23.9% | 22.7% | 24.4% | 22.7% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 10.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% |
| Ground-ball rate | 42.0% | 43.6% | 45.6% | 43.6% |
| Hard-hit rate | 43.5% | 40.9% | 38.5% | 40.9% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% |
| Strikeout rate | 17.4% | 18.5% | 20.6% | 18.5% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 39.8% | 40.3% | 39.8% |
| All fastball usage | — | 57.7% | 57.8% | 57.7% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 44.2% | 44.8% | 44.2% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| First secondary usage | — | 28.5% | 29.7% | 28.5% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 12.2% | 11.4% | 12.2% |