Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 7.4 in
- RP forecast
- 7.4 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.72 | 1.35 | 17.5% | 7.6% | 37.4% |
| RP | 4.26 | 1.31 | 19.6% | 7.8% | 39.4% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 7.4 in | 7.4 in | 7.4 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 18.7 in | 18.8 in | 18.7 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.8 mph | 93.3 mph | 92.8 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 15.9 in | 16.1 in | 15.9 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 8.3 in | 8.4 in | 8.3 in |
| Stuff+ | 90 | 95 | 96 | 95 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 95 | 97 | 95 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | 97 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | 98 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 100 | 100 | 100 |
| Zone rate | 46.1% | 47.7% | 47.5% | 47.7% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 33.1% | 29.9% | 30.5% | 29.9% |
| Whiff rate | 21.3% | 22.0% | 23.8% | 22.0% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% |
| Ground-ball rate | 39.3% | 37.4% | 39.4% | 37.4% |
| Hard-hit rate | 36.9% | 40.7% | 38.3% | 40.7% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% |
| Strikeout rate | 15.0% | 17.5% | 19.6% | 17.5% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 22.2% | 22.7% | 22.2% |
| All fastball usage | — | 52.1% | 52.1% | 52.1% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 31.8% | 32.4% | 31.8% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 26.6% | 25.7% | 26.6% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| First secondary usage | — | 24.9% | 26.1% | 24.9% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 13.2% | 12.5% | 13.2% |