Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 7.0 in
- RP forecast
- 7.0 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 7.0 in | 7.0 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 15.1 in | 15.1 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.6 mph | 95.2 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 3.7 in | 3.8 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 10.6 in | 10.7 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 93 | 96 | 98 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 92 | 94 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 102 | 102 | — |
| Zone rate | 44.8% | 46.5% | 46.3% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 34.2% | 29.6% | 30.2% | — |
| Whiff rate | 27.1% | 23.3% | 25.0% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 41.4% | 37.6% | 39.6% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 43.7% | 44.9% | 42.5% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.1 pp | -0.1 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.7% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 17.7% | 16.9% | 19.0% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 36.3% | 36.9% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 61.6% | 61.6% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 28.4% | 28.9% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 2.3% | 1.4% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.2% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 33.7% | 34.9% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 16.1% | 15.3% | — |