Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 15.2 in
- RP forecast
- 15.2 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 15.2 in | 15.2 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 10.4 in | 10.5 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 90.9 mph | 91.5 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 8.3 in | 8.5 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 16.1 in | 16.2 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 93 | 96 | 97 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 98 | 100 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 92 | 93 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 91 | 92 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 33.0% | 43.3% | 43.1% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 28.4% | 26.2% | 26.8% | — |
| Whiff rate | 17.1% | 17.4% | 19.1% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 15.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 69.2% | 52.0% | 54.0% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 69.2% | 47.1% | 44.6% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 1.4 pp | 1.4 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 25.0% | 12.7% | 12.9% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 16.7% | 15.7% | 17.8% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 26.4% | 26.9% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 64.6% | 64.6% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 46.6% | 47.2% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 8.0% | 7.1% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.7% | 1.0% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 24.5% | 25.7% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 14.7% | 14.0% | — |