Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 13.4 in
- RP · chosen
- 13.3 in
Loading projection…
| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP | 4.65 | 1.35 | 17.3% | 7.2% | 43.4% |
| RP · chosen | 4.19 | 1.31 | 19.4% | 7.5% | 45.4% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 13.4 in | 13.3 in | 13.3 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 10.4 in | 10.5 in | 10.5 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.4 mph | 95.0 mph | 95.0 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 6.4 in | 6.6 in | 6.6 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 14.6 in | 14.7 in | 14.7 in |
| Stuff+ | 94 | 98 | 99 | 99 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 96 | 98 | 98 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | 100 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 102 | 103 | 103 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 102 | 102 | 102 |
| Zone rate | 44.3% | 47.2% | 47.0% | 47.0% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 31.3% | 29.2% | 29.8% | 29.8% |
| Whiff rate | 22.7% | 21.9% | 23.7% | 23.7% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% |
| Ground-ball rate | 45.8% | 43.4% | 45.4% | 45.4% |
| Hard-hit rate | 34.7% | 40.3% | 37.9% | 37.9% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.0 pp | -0.0 pp | -0.0 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% |
| Strikeout rate | 15.6% | 17.3% | 19.4% | 19.4% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 30.3% | 30.8% | 30.8% |
| All fastball usage | — | 44.4% | 44.5% | 44.5% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 21.5% | 22.1% | 22.1% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 26.2% | 25.3% | 25.3% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| First secondary usage | — | 27.7% | 28.9% | 28.9% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 25.6% | 24.9% | 24.9% |