Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 5.2 in
- RP forecast
- 5.1 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.70 | 1.35 | 20.7% | 9.3% | 31.2% |
| RP | 4.24 | 1.31 | 22.8% | 9.6% | 33.2% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 5.2 in | 5.1 in | 5.2 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 17.9 in | 17.9 in | 17.9 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 92.8 mph | 93.4 mph | 92.8 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 13.3 in | 13.4 in | 13.3 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 16.5 in | 16.6 in | 16.5 in |
| Stuff+ | 99 | 99 | 100 | 99 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 101 | 103 | 101 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 100 | 99 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 91 | 92 | 91 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 100 | 100 | 100 |
| Zone rate | 46.1% | 47.3% | 47.1% | 47.3% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 33.9% | 29.2% | 29.8% | 29.2% |
| Whiff rate | 28.9% | 26.1% | 27.9% | 26.1% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% |
| Ground-ball rate | 24.6% | 31.2% | 33.2% | 31.2% |
| Hard-hit rate | 33.7% | 37.1% | 34.7% | 37.1% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.0 pp | 0.0 pp | 0.0 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% |
| Strikeout rate | 21.3% | 20.7% | 22.8% | 20.7% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 30.4% | 31.0% | 30.4% |
| All fastball usage | — | 52.7% | 52.7% | 52.7% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 42.4% | 43.0% | 42.4% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 17.3% | 16.4% | 17.3% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| First secondary usage | — | 25.2% | 26.4% | 25.2% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 16.5% | 15.7% | 16.5% |