Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 7.6 in
- RP · chosen
- 7.6 in
Loading projection…
| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP | 4.28 | 1.32 | 24.2% | 9.7% | 40.3% |
| RP · chosen | 3.82 | 1.28 | 26.3% | 9.9% | 42.3% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 7.6 in | 7.6 in | 7.6 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 15.6 in | 15.7 in | 15.7 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 96.9 mph | 97.5 mph | 97.5 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 18.0 in | 18.2 in | 18.2 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 9.2 in | 9.4 in | 9.4 in |
| Stuff+ | 101 | 101 | 102 | 102 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 99 | 101 | 101 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 103 | 104 | 104 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 104 | 105 | 105 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 95 | 95 | 95 |
| Zone rate | 45.2% | 47.5% | 47.2% | 47.2% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 26.4% | 27.9% | 28.5% | 28.5% |
| Whiff rate | 32.4% | 27.5% | 29.2% | 29.2% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% |
| Ground-ball rate | 39.2% | 40.3% | 42.3% | 42.3% |
| Hard-hit rate | 38.7% | 41.2% | 38.7% | 38.7% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 12.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.9% |
| Strikeout rate | 29.6% | 24.2% | 26.3% | 26.3% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 30.8% | 31.3% | 31.3% |
| All fastball usage | — | 54.5% | 54.5% | 54.5% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 28.1% | 28.7% | 28.7% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 14.9% | 14.0% | 14.0% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% |
| First secondary usage | — | 22.9% | 24.1% | 24.1% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 17.3% | 16.5% | 16.5% |