Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 11.8 in
- RP forecast
- 11.8 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 11.8 in | 11.8 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 6.6 in | 6.7 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 96.6 mph | 97.2 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 6.8 in | 6.9 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 11.0 in | 11.2 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 104 | 101 | 103 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 94 | 95 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 107 | 108 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 59.3% | 53.2% | 53.0% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 14.3% | 22.8% | 23.4% | — |
| Whiff rate | 8.1% | 14.9% | 16.6% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 0.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 50.0% | 51.6% | 53.6% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 55.6% | 44.7% | 42.3% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.1 pp | -0.1 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 13.6% | 11.3% | 11.6% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 4.5% | 11.7% | 13.8% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 51.2% | 51.8% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 46.4% | 46.5% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 28.1% | 28.6% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 3.5% | 2.6% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.4% | 0.8% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 46.4% | 47.6% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 16.9% | 16.1% | — |