Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 16.2 in
- RP forecast
- 16.2 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 16.2 in | 16.2 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | -2.4 in | -2.4 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.9 mph | 94.5 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 12.8 in | 12.9 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 12.1 in | 12.2 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 102 | 101 | 102 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 104 | 105 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 100 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 103 | 104 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 99 | 99 | — |
| Zone rate | 46.2% | 47.3% | 47.1% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 30.2% | 29.5% | 30.1% | — |
| Whiff rate | 25.7% | 23.2% | 24.9% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 62.2% | 57.4% | 59.4% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 39.9% | 41.5% | 39.1% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.0 pp | 0.0 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 22.2% | 19.7% | 21.8% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 14.9% | 15.4% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 59.6% | 59.7% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 49.1% | 49.6% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 26.9% | 26.0% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 20.0% | 21.2% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 12.8% | 12.1% | — |