Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 13.3 in
- RP forecast
- 13.2 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 13.3 in | 13.2 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 1.5 in | 1.5 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 89.8 mph | 90.4 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 13.5 in | 13.7 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 6.4 in | 6.6 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 99 | 100 | 101 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 99 | 101 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 103 | 103 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 94 | 94 | — |
| Zone rate | 46.1% | 48.1% | 47.8% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 33.2% | 29.9% | 30.5% | — |
| Whiff rate | 21.7% | 19.6% | 21.3% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 47.6% | 51.0% | 53.0% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 37.8% | 39.8% | 37.4% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 16.7% | 15.2% | 17.2% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 37.6% | 38.1% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 40.4% | 40.4% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 33.0% | 33.6% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 21.1% | 20.2% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.8% | 1.1% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 18.9% | 20.1% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 18.8% | 18.0% | — |