Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 5.9 in
- RP forecast
- 5.9 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 5.9 in | 5.9 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 18.0 in | 18.1 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.1 mph | 93.7 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 9.5 in | 9.6 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 2.8 in | 2.9 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 93 | 99 | 101 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 93 | 95 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 102 | 103 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 84 | 84 | — |
| Zone rate | 51.3% | 49.6% | 49.4% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 19.2% | 26.0% | 26.6% | — |
| Whiff rate | 17.6% | 21.4% | 23.2% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 14.6% | 9.5% | 8.0% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 47.9% | 41.7% | 43.7% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 39.6% | 39.6% | 37.2% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.6 pp | 0.6 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 13.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 24.7% | 21.9% | 24.0% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 25.0% | 25.5% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 34.5% | 34.5% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 26.4% | 26.9% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 43.8% | 42.9% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.5% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 40.9% | 42.1% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 21.2% | 20.4% | — |