Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP · chosen
- 15.3 in
- RP forecast
- 15.2 in
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| Scenario | ERA | WHIP | K% | BB% | GB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SP · chosen | 4.09 | 1.35 | 22.2% | 8.9% | 56.3% |
| RP | 3.63 | 1.31 | 24.3% | 9.2% | 58.3% |
| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 15.3 in | 15.2 in | 15.3 in |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 3.6 in | 3.7 in | 3.6 in |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 96.1 mph | 96.7 mph | 96.1 mph |
| First secondary movement | — | 14.1 in | 14.3 in | 14.1 in |
| Second secondary movement | — | 16.4 in | 16.5 in | 16.4 in |
| Stuff+ | 100 | 101 | 102 | 101 |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 103 | 104 | 103 |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | 101 |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 99 | 99 | 99 |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 106 | 106 | 106 |
| Zone rate | 44.7% | 46.7% | 46.4% | 46.7% |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 32.8% | 30.0% | 30.6% | 30.0% |
| Whiff rate | 28.6% | 26.6% | 28.4% | 26.6% |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% |
| Ground-ball rate | 53.8% | 56.3% | 58.3% | 56.3% |
| Hard-hit rate | 37.4% | 41.7% | 39.2% | 41.7% |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% |
| Strikeout rate | 22.6% | 22.2% | 24.3% | 22.2% |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 31.2% | 31.7% | 31.2% |
| All fastball usage | — | 52.2% | 52.2% | 52.2% |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 30.3% | 30.9% | 30.3% |
| Offspeed usage | — | 17.7% | 16.8% | 17.7% |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| First secondary usage | — | 24.0% | 25.2% | 24.0% |
| Second secondary usage | — | 19.8% | 19.0% | 19.8% |