Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 6.0 in
- RP forecast
- 6.0 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 6.0 in | 6.0 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 17.1 in | 17.2 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 94.9 mph | 95.5 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 8.5 in | 8.6 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 4.7 in | 4.9 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 103 | 100 | 101 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 100 | 101 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 101 | 101 | — |
| Zone rate | 48.0% | 49.1% | 48.8% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 35.9% | 29.7% | 30.3% | — |
| Whiff rate | 27.7% | 25.1% | 26.8% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 38.3% | 39.2% | 41.3% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 43.6% | 43.0% | 40.6% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.3 pp | 0.3 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 22.8% | 20.9% | 23.0% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 24.9% | 25.4% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 59.8% | 59.9% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 29.3% | 29.9% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 15.8% | 14.9% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.1% | 0.4% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 22.4% | 23.7% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 22.5% | 21.7% | — |