Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 15.0 in
- RP forecast
- 14.9 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 15.0 in | 14.9 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 6.5 in | 6.5 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.4 mph | 94.0 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 12.9 in | 13.0 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 8.1 in | 8.3 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 93 | 97 | 99 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 98 | 99 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 39.1% | 44.6% | 44.4% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 25.6% | 26.9% | 27.5% | — |
| Whiff rate | 23.1% | 22.2% | 24.0% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 0.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 75.0% | 54.4% | 56.4% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 62.5% | 46.2% | 43.8% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 20.0% | 12.6% | 12.9% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 26.7% | 20.6% | 22.7% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 33.5% | 34.0% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 62.2% | 62.2% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 42.8% | 43.4% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 3.0% | 2.1% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.2% | 0.5% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 26.3% | 27.5% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 16.3% | 15.5% | — |