Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 12.2 in
- RP forecast
- 12.1 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 12.2 in | 12.1 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 11.4 in | 11.4 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 91.2 mph | 91.8 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 15.6 in | 15.8 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 8.9 in | 9.0 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 85 | 93 | 95 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 93 | 95 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 91 | 92 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 97 | 98 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Zone rate | 45.9% | 47.6% | 47.3% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 33.3% | 28.8% | 29.4% | — |
| Whiff rate | 33.0% | 25.1% | 26.8% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 0.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 34.5% | 39.1% | 41.1% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 17.2% | 36.0% | 33.6% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.0 pp | -0.0 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 33.3% | 21.7% | 23.8% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 12.0% | 12.5% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 54.7% | 54.7% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 24.1% | 24.7% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 35.7% | 34.8% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.3% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 32.9% | 34.1% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 24.5% | 23.8% | — |