Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 3.1 in
- RP forecast
- 3.0 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 3.1 in | 3.0 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 16.1 in | 16.1 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 95.9 mph | 96.5 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 17.2 in | 17.3 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 17.0 in | 17.1 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 102 | 100 | 101 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 101 | 103 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 95 | 96 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 102 | 103 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 99 | 99 | — |
| Zone rate | 47.7% | 48.1% | 47.9% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 32.9% | 29.3% | 29.9% | — |
| Whiff rate | 27.9% | 25.4% | 27.1% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 48.8% | 44.0% | 46.0% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 34.9% | 39.6% | 37.2% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.2 pp | 0.2 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 26.8% | 22.2% | 24.3% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 33.5% | 34.0% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 62.2% | 62.2% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 43.7% | 44.3% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 3.0% | 2.1% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.7% | 1.0% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 20.7% | 21.9% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 14.3% | 13.5% | — |