Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 2.7 in
- RP forecast
- 2.6 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 2.7 in | 2.6 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 11.8 in | 11.8 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 96.9 mph | 97.5 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 7.9 in | 8.1 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | — * | — * | — |
| Stuff+ | 113 | 106 | 107 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 97 | 99 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 118 | 118 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | — * | — * | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 93 | 93 | — |
| Zone rate | 44.0% | 46.8% | 46.5% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 34.5% | 31.7% | 32.3% | — |
| Whiff rate | 30.5% | 28.3% | 30.0% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 53.5% | 49.9% | 51.9% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 36.0% | 40.0% | 37.6% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | 0.1 pp | 0.1 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 15.9% | 10.4% | 10.7% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 26.5% | 23.7% | 25.8% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 44.1% | 44.6% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 54.5% | 54.5% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 49.2% | 49.8% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 2.4% | 1.5% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.1% | 0.4% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 39.9% | 41.2% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | — * | — * | — |