Fastball horizontal break
- 2026 actual
- —
- SP forecast
- 10.2 in
- RP forecast
- 10.1 in
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| Component | 2026 actual | SP forecast | RP forecast | Chosen role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw stuff | ||||
| Fastball horizontal break | — | 10.2 in | 10.1 in | — |
| Fastball induced vertical break | — | 11.0 in | 11.1 in | — |
| Primary fastball velocity | — | 93.7 mph | 94.3 mph | — |
| First secondary movement | — | 14.6 in | 14.7 in | — |
| Second secondary movement | — | 18.8 in | 18.9 in | — |
| Stuff+ | 102 | 101 | 103 | — |
| Primary fastball Stuff+ | — | 101 | 102 | — |
| First secondary Stuff+ | — | 102 | 103 | — |
| Second secondary Stuff+ | — | 106 | 107 | — |
| Command | ||||
| PLoc+ | — | 101 | 101 | — |
| Zone rate | 49.8% | 49.2% | 49.0% | — |
| Hitter reaction | ||||
| Chase rate | 25.4% | 26.9% | 27.5% | — |
| Whiff rate | 27.5% | 24.9% | 26.7% | — |
| Contact | ||||
| Barrel rate | 14.6% | 9.5% | 8.0% | — |
| Ground-ball rate | 22.0% | 41.2% | 43.2% | — |
| Hard-hit rate | 36.6% | 37.4% | 35.0% | — |
| HR/FB above expected | — | -0.3 pp | -0.3 pp | — |
| Results | ||||
| Walk rate | 14.1% | 10.1% | 10.3% | — |
| Strikeout rate | 20.3% | 19.7% | 21.8% | — |
| Usage | ||||
| Breaking-ball usage | — | 33.9% | 34.4% | — |
| All fastball usage | — | 58.0% | 58.0% | — |
| Primary fastball usage | — | 34.0% | 34.5% | — |
| Offspeed usage | — | 9.3% | 8.4% | — |
| Other pitch usage | — | 0.0% | 0.2% | — |
| First secondary usage | — | 30.7% | 32.0% | — |
| Second secondary usage | — | 21.7% | 21.0% | — |